EURO STOXX 50 – 20 de marzo de 2013
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on March 20th, 2013 filed in EuroStoxx 50
- 171 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
Atención a la divergencia entre índices europeos y americanos.
Sigue el dilema apuntado anteayer acerca del índice IBEX 35, ¿cerró el undécimo ciclo primario el día 27 de febrero y está ya transitando el duodécimo?
Dadas las circunstancias fundamentales que afectan a los índices europeos caben hipótesis:
– Un recorte (máximos y mínimos decrecientes) penetrando el soporte que representa el mínimo de 27 de febrero (2563), definiría continuidad del undécimo ciclo primario.
– Un recorte (máximos y mínimos decrecientes) rebotando antes de penetrar los 2563 representaría ese punto como final de ciclo e inicio de uno nuevo
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Mediados de marzo prorrogable hasta mediados de abril representan momentos propicios de cambio de tendencia
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009 hasta 8 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011
Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 agosto de 2011 hasta 25 de noviembre 2011
(Distorsionado, formado por dos fases intercíclicas)
Tercer ciclo de 18 meses
Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre 2011 hasta 4 de junio de 2012
Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio de 2012 hasta 16 de noviembre de 2012
Undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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