DOW JONES versus CICLO NATURAL
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on March 15th, 2013 filed in Dow
- 666 Comentarios »
El gráfico insertado correspondiente al tercer ciclo de 18 meses, figura además la evolución del Ciclo Natural.
Me encuentro frente a la tesitura de si tener que efectuar modificaciones importantes que alterarían mis últimos análisis:
La duda viene desde la reacción cíclica de febrero, no es fácil determinar el momento final de un ciclo, sobretodo cuando se observa divergencia entre varios:
Ciclos cerrando por debajo de su periodicidad media
Escaso recorte de los principales índices (pesos pesados como SP, DOW, etc)
Tramo de la cresta al fondo imperceptible en algunos índices, etc.
La hipótesis a asumir sería si al recorte del mes de febrero le correspondió ser fondo final del undécimo ciclo primario y desde ahí arrancaría el duodécimo.
La proyección temporal de puntos medios apunta a la semana del 18 de marzo y la semana del 15 de abril como momentos propicios a cambios de tendencia.
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