EURO STOXX 50 – 13 de marzo de 2013

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)


El undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre transita su décimo séptima semana, va desplegando dos fases:

Primera fase: fue alcista hasta la cresta de su primera mitad en los 2754 puntos, de ahí corrigió hasta un punto medio que cerró en los 2563.

Segunda fase: nuevo impulso alcista hasta la cresta de su segunda mitad.

Una vez definida la segunda cresta, de momento en 2733  puntos,  seguirá  arco descendente hasta el fondo final del completo ciclo primario.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Desde la segunda cresta le resta al ciclo el correspondiente recorte hasta su fondo final.

El ciclo natural apuntaba a cresta en febrero y final en marzo, así ha sido en algunos índices que se vienen siguiendo (según se dice menos politizados.

El final de ciclo tiende a desplazarse hasta mediados de abril.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009  hasta 8 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 agosto de 2011 hasta 25 de noviembre 2011

(Distorsionado, formado por dos fases intercíclicas)

Tercer ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre 2011 hasta 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio de 2012 hasta 16 de noviembre de 2012

Undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre


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