DOW JONES I.A. – 15 de febrero de 2013

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

El undécimo ciclo Primario comenzó  el 16 de noviembre y va a entrar en su decimocuarta semana, sigue desplegando su segunda fase:

Primera fase: Definió cresta en 13366 y final de fase en 12884.

Segunda fase: Sin efecto punto medio ha ido elevándose hasta la cresta, de momento en 14039 puntos.

Desde de la cresta una vez definida seguirá arco descendente, por debajo del indicador MM25 donde definirá un fondo de fase

Desde un fondo a determinar cabrán dos opciones:

1ª) Intento a formar una tercera cresta (el índice se elevaría nuevamente por encima del indicador MM25 desplegando la tercera fase de un ciclo de tres) o bien:

2ª) Seguir en línea de máximos y mínimos decrecientes hasta el fondo final del completo Ciclo Primario (ciclo de dos fases)

Ambas opciones son válidas dentro de un entorno bajista

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Según el Ciclo Natural el entorno bajista se mantendrá hasta mediados del mes de marzo (Ciclo Natural es el que los distintos índices tienden a replicar)

Cualquier predicción sobre ese ciclo primario habrá de tener en cuenta se halla ubicado dentro del tramo final del tercer ciclo de 18 meses y también el de 3-4 años


Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8  julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2  noviembre de 2009  hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16  marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto de 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011 (distorsionado, definido por dos fases intercíclicas)

Tercer Ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre hasta 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio hasta 16 de noviembre de 2012

Undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre  hasta


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