EURO STOXX 50 – 6 de febrero de 2013

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

El undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre transita su décimo segunda semana, desplegará dos fases con punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo:

Primera fase: alcista hasta la cresta de su primera mitad en los 2754 puntos, de ahí corregirá hasta un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo (de momento en 2622 puntos).

Un punto medio suele presentarse entre las semanas 7 a la 11 de ciclo

Segunda fase: nuevo impulso alcista hasta la cresta de su segunda mitad.

Una vez definida la segunda cresta seguirá  arco descendente hasta el fondo final del completo ciclo primario

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

La presencia de un punto medio se ha presentado en forma violenta, propio de mercados donde va demorándose lo que es inevitable, técnicamente el final de un punto medio, a mas tardar, debería ser en la semana 11 , cuando en ese caso el recorte desde la cresta ha comenzado en la semana 12, va a recortar dos o tres semanas.

A la espera pues de cómo va a administrar ese ciclo sus tiempos, que en principio va a seguir desplegando hasta mediados de marzo.

Cualquier predicción sobre ese ciclo primario debe tener en cuenta se halla ubicado dentro del tramo final del tercer ciclo de 18 meses y también el de 3-4 años

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009  hasta 8 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 agosto de 2011 hasta 25 de noviembre 2011

(Distorsionado, formado por dos fases intercíclicas)

Tercer ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre 2011 hasta 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio de 2012 hasta 16 de noviembre de 2012

Undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre


47 Responses to “EURO STOXX 50 – 6 de febrero de 2013”

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