EURO STOXX 50 – 3 de enero de 2013
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on January 3rd, 2013 filed in EuroStoxx 50
- 1,271 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
El undécimo Ciclo Primario comenzó el 16 de noviembre y transita su séptima semana, probablemente desplegará dos fases:
Primera fase: alcita hasta la cresta de su primera mitad (de momento en los 2711 puntos), de ahí corregirá hasta un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo.
Un punto medio suele presentarse entre las semanas 7 a la 11 de ciclo
Segunda fase: nuevo impulso alcista hasta la cresta de su segunda mitad.
Una vez definida la segunda cresta seguirá arco descendente hasta el fondo final del completo ciclo primario
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Tomando como referencia la evolución de lo que sería un ciclo natural, cabe como primer momento propicio a definir un punto medio del ciclo al entorno de la segunda semana de febrero.
Cualquier predicción sobre ese ciclo primario debe tener en cuenta que se halla ubicado dentro del tramo final del tercer ciclo de 18 meses y también el de 3-4 años
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009 hasta 8 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011
Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 agosto de 2011 hasta 25 de noviembre 2011
(Distorsionado, formado por dos fases intercíclicas)
Tercer ciclo de 18 meses
Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre 2011 hasta 4 de junio de 2012
Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio de 2012 hasta 16 de noviembre de 2012
Undécimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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