FTSE 100 – 17 de noviembre de 2012

CICLO PRIMARIO (Órbita media 15 – 21 semanas)

Empezó el 1 de junio y sigue desplegando más allá de su periodicidad media.

Ha definido: Inicio en 5230 puntos y cresta en doble techo 5932 – 5921.

Punto medio entre dos mitades en 5635

Fondo final de momento en 5611 puntos

Quedará confirmado el final del viejo ciclo e inicio del nuevo cuando al rebotar se eleve el índice por encima del indicador MM25.

Una vez finalizado el ciclo la tendencia queda alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad del nuevo, aunque sujeto a la influencia de su ciclo superior al que pertenece

El nuevo ciclo será undécimo dentro del gran ciclo de 3 – 4 años

Corresponde a las ondas largas de ELLIOTT, desde la cresta de la quinta larga sigue recorte en A – B – C.

Antecedentes:

Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero 2010 hasta 30 de junio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011

Tercer ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre de 2011 hasta1 de junio de 2011

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 1 de junio


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