IBEX 35 – 27 de julio de 2012

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15 – 21 semanas)

Octava semana del décimo Ciclo Primario que empezó el 4 de junio.

Desplegó tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la 1ª mitad del ciclo que dejó definida en 7220 puntos.

Desde la cresta inició recorte hasta lo que va a ser el punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo primario, de momento en 5905.

Una vez definido el punto medio seguirá rebote hasta la cresta de la segunda mitad, aunque, con limitada capacidad de reacción teniendo en cuenta que ha penetrado el soporte que representa el inicio de ciclo.

CICLO DE 3 – 4 AÑOS

Desde marzo de 2009 va transitando el ciclo de 3-4 años.

Un ciclo de tres fases (15 a 21 meses cada una), cuya cresta quedó definida en febrero – marzo de 2011.

El arco descendente del ciclo de 3- 4 años seguirá desplegando sucesión de máximos y mínimos decrecientes (duración algunos meses) hasta su fondo final, el cual tenderá a producirse en lo que va a ser el undécimo ciclo primario.

Antecedentes:

Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 8 de junio de 2010

Segundo ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre 2011

Tercer ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre hasta 4 de junio 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio hasta


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