EURO STOXX 50 – 9 de julio de 2012

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

Desde 4 de junio con el índice a 2050 puntos va desplegando el décimo Ciclo Primario. Se trata del segundo primario dentro del tercer ciclo de 18 meses que a su vez es tercero dentro del gran ciclo de 3-4 años.

Ha desplegado cresta de momento en 2332 puntos, es la cresta de la primera fase, aunque dada la coyuntura también podría serlo de la primera mitad del ciclo primario.

La tendencia de ese décimo ciclo, una vez definida su cresta, quedará bajista puesto que el noveno primario cerró por debajo de su inicio.

No obstante lo anterior, el décimo ciclo primario aún podría elevarse por encima de 2332, evidentemente ello requiere que todo recorte no pierda los 2050 puntos  de inicio.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

El punto medio apuntado en el anterior informe para el 30 de junio dio lugar a un repunte no visto desde hacía tiempo, también se anunció un segundo punto medio para el entorno al 22 de julio

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009  hasta 8 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 11 de agosto 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 11 agosto de 2011 hasta 25 de noviembre 2011

(Distorsionado, formado por dos fases intercíclicas)

Tercer ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre 2011 hasta 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio de 2012


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