HANG SENG – 2 de julio de 2012

CICLO PRIMARIO (orbita entre 15 a 21 semanas)

El décimo Ciclo Primario comenzó el día 4 de junio en los 18056 puntos, entra pues en su quinta semana y la tendencia es alcista hasta la cresta de su primera mitad.

Ya se indicó en otros índices que las expectativas alcistas lo son desde la óptica aislada del ciclo, es alcista como consecuencia de haber cerrado por encima de su inicio, no obstante, analizándolo según su ubicación dentro del ciclo superior al que pertenece, lo vemos formando parte de un tramo bajista. O sea, línea de máximos y mínimos decrecientes.

Ciclos dentro de ciclos:

Se trata del segundo primario dentro del tercer ciclo de 18 meses que a su vez es tercero dentro del gran ciclo de 3-4 años.

PROYECCION TEMPORAL DE PUNTOS MEDIOS

En principio la continuidad alcista podría seguir desplegando en las siguientes tres semanas.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 2 de noviembre.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2 de noviembre hasta 8 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 2010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo  2010 hasta 20 de diciembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario  20 de diciembre de 2010 hasta 17 de marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario 17 de marzo de 2011 hasta el 20 de junio de 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 20 de junio hasta 4 de octubre de 2011

Tercer Ciclo de 18 meses

Fase intercíclica 4 de octubre al 25 de noviembre

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre al 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio


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