DOW JONES I.A. – 29 de junio de 2012

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

Desde 4 de junio con el índice a 12035 puntos va desplegando el décimo Ciclo Primario. Se trata del segundo primario dentro del tercer ciclo de 18 meses que a su vez es tercero dentro del gran ciclo de 3-4 años.

Ha desplegado cresta de momento en 12899 puntos, es la cresta de la primera fase, aunque dada la coyuntura también podría serlo de la primera mitad del ciclo primario.

A corto – La tendencia de ese décimo ciclo es alcista puesto que el noveno cerró por encima de su inicio.

Mantener la tendencia alcista requiere que todo recorte debería rebotar por encima de 12035 y elevarse por encima de 12899

A medio – La tendencia alcista se verá interrumpida debido a la influencia del tramo descendente tanto del ciclo de 18 meses como del ciclo de 3-4 años al que pertenece

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

El décimo ciclo apunta a dos momentos donde caben cambios de tendencia: entorno al 30 de junio y entorno al 22 de julio

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8  julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2  noviembre de 2009  hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16  marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto de 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011 (distorsionado, definido por dos fases intercíclicas).

Tercer Ciclo de 18 meses

Noveno Ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre hasta 4 de junio de 2012

Décimo Ciclo Primario desde 4 de junio


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