EFECTO MARIPOSA Y CICLOS

El problema no es Europa, el problema es mundial, hubo una mariposa que bateó las alas en alguna parte del globo y el mundo se vino abajo.

¿Quién debería capitanear la situación cuando parece que todos los líderes han alcanzado su nivel de incompetencia?, los líderes  están ahí porque los electores en su momento van cambiando uno de desgastado por otro, pero el pobre líder sin quererlo hace bueno a su antecesor.

El líder es solo una víctima de su destino, los actuales nunca serán salvadores de nada, la mariposa ha bateado las alas y no hay vuelta atrás, todo será distinto, la economía, los estados, el sistema, nada volverá a ser lo que era.

Hay que entender que ese mundo va dando lugar a otro donde no caben las BANKIAS de turno.

Salvar el pasado es un desgaste, nunca va a representar un soporte para el futuro.

El efecto ciclos permite entender el efecto mariposa, por lo menos su alcance. Como analista de ciclos comentaba en el informe PREDICCIONES CÍCLCICAS PARA EL 2012 que la peor coyuntura se plantearía a partir de los meses julio – agosto, ello como consecuencia del movimiento cíclico en A – B – C  desde una supuesta cresta.

La cresta debería ser ya, evidentemente no la hay, lo lamentable es que la no existencia de cresta no va a impedir el recorte pertinente.

El gráfico del índice HANG SENG, con una quinta onda de Elliott distorsionada es el reflejo de lo que tendría que ser pero no es.


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