EURO STOXX 50 – 23 de mayo de 2012

Ciclos de 18 meses dentro del gran ciclo de tres – cuatro años

Primer tramo de 18 meses: marzo 2009 – junio 2010

Segundo tramo  18 meses: junio 2010   – septiembre 2011

Tercer tramo de 18 meses: desplegando desde septiembre de 2011

La cresta de ese tercer ciclo de 18 meses se halla de momento en los 2611 puntos del mes de marzo que por tiempo aún podría superar, aunque difícil teniendo en cuenta las circunstancias económicas y de toda índole en la economía occidental.

En cuanto al ciclo de  3 – 4 años que engloba los tres tramos de 18 meses tiene definida cresta en el doble techo:

Enero – abril 2010

Febrero – mayo 2011

Puede estimarse como definitiva y desde ahí habría comenzado el recorte de ese gran ciclo hasta lo que va a ser su fondo final.

Al tratar de hacer predicciones para un ciclo largo es indispensable seguir los cortos que pueda comprender, en ese caso el tercero de 18 meses y también sus primarios que pueda desplegar.

El Primario  publicado ayer debería rebotar lo suficiente para dejar definidos el final del noveno primario y a su vez el inicio del décimo.


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