INFORME SEMANA – 30 de abril al 6 de mayo de 2012

Análisis de cíclicos

La última semana ha sido gratificante en cuanto a confirmaciones, varios importantes índices han situado cierres por encima de sus respectivos indicadores MM25, lo cual habrá de ser interpretado en el sentido de que el noveno ciclo primario ha dado paso al décimo.

El fondo final del noveno Ciclo Primario, que en el anterior informe, como hipótesis, se fijaba para los días 10 y 11 de abril es ya una realidad, en consecuencia, aquel momento pasa a ser inicio de un nuevo ciclo primario, el décimo, al menos para índices tan importantes como DOW, SP500, FTSE 100, NASDAQ, Hang Seng.

Con respecto a otros índices dentro del continente europeo:

CAC y DAX tienden a superar la media MM25.

Euro Stoxx 50, es de esperar seguirá igual senda alcista, aunque lastrado por valores españoles.

IBEX 35, también reaccionará aunque dando continuidad a su particular calvario derivado de la pérdida de importantes soportes.

El décimo Ciclo Primario va a ser probablemente el último dentro del tercer ciclo de 18 meses, es previsible que la cresta de ese décimo Primario defina la culminación de la quinta onda de Elliott, donde algunos índices tendrán oportunidad de elevarse por encima de sus recientes crestas.


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