DOW JONES I.A. – 18 de abril de 2012

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

El 25 de noviembre es inicio del NOVENO CICLO PRIMARIO con los siguientes puntos definidos:

Inicio de Ciclo el 25 de noviembre en los 11232 puntos

Semana veintiuna

Cresta del ciclo 13297

Arco descendente hasta los 12711 puntos del día 10.

Ese hipotético fondo final queda definido por:

Tiempo de ciclo (20 semanas),  por el indicador stochastic en banda baja, y también por el cierre de ayer por encima de la MM25.

No así por el recorte que solo ha representado el 28,38%, donde teóricamente debería haber alcanzado al menos un 38,2%.

Se decía en el informe semana:

“Los ciclos son movimientos rítmicos que se manifiestan desde el progreso y decadencia de las naciones a todas las cosas de la vida, en consecuencia, los índices de bolsa como reflejo que son de un colectivo emocional, tienden a replicar con mayor o menor intensidad un ciclo natural, aunque unos se anticipan y otros se demoran, provocando divergencia”.

Por lo comentado cabe deducir que, aunque probable, no puede aún darse por finiquitado el viejo ciclo que aún podría seguir desplegando.

PROYECCION TEMPORAL DE PUNTOS MEDIOS

Según referencias hasta ahora el nuevo momento propicio a cambio se daría al entorno a la primera semana de mayo.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8  julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2  noviembre de 2009  hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16  marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto de 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011 (distorsionado, definido por dos fases intercíclicas).


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