NIKKEI – 13 de abril de 2012

CICLO PRIMARIO (órbita media de 15 a 21 semanas)

Transitando la semana 19 del noveno ciclo primario, desde su inicio ha definido máximos y mínimos crecientes, cresta del ciclo en los 10255 puntos.

Se halla transitando el tramo final (arco descendente) del ciclo primario que puede haber cerrado o hacerlo en cualquier momento, puesto que los requisitos indispensables se han cumplido:

– La semana 19 se halla dentro de la órbita 15-21

– Recortes suficientes desde la cresta. Técnicamente un 38,2%, 50%, ó 61,8% del completo impulso alcista desde inicio de ciclo.

El recorte representa ya un 40,9%

– Otro requisito a tener en cuenta es el Oscilador Stochastic 15 sesiones, en todo final de ciclo alcanza niveles por debajo de mínimos.

Sigue situado en la banda baja

Definido el fondo final del Ciclo Primario seguirá el comienzo de un nuevo, será el décimo y probablemente último Ciclo Primario dentro del ciclo de 18 meses, es previsible que la cresta de ese nuevo Primario defina la culminación de la quinta onda de Elliott, algunos índices tendrán oportunidad de elevarse por encima de sus recientes crestas

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 10 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 27 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer ciclo Primario desde 27 de noviembre de 2009  hasta 9 de febrero Cuarto ciclo Primario desde 9 de febrero de 2010 hasta 9 de junio de 2010

Ciclos Primarios dentro del segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto ciclo Primario desde 9 de junio de 2010 hasta 1º de septiembre 2010

Sexto ciclo Primario desde 1º de septiembre de 2010 hasta 15 de marzo 2011

Séptimo ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto 2011

Octavo ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011

Noveno ciclo Primario desde 25 de noviembre hasta


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