FTSE 100 – 12 de abril de 2012
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on April 12th, 2012 filed in Ft100
- 13 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
Transitando la semana 19 del noveno ciclo primario, desde su inicio ha definido máximos y mínimos crecientes, cresta del ciclo en los 5989 puntos.
Se halla transitando el tramo final del ciclo primario que puede haber cerrado o hacerlo en cualquier momento, puesto que los requisitos indispensables se han cumplido:
– La semana 19 se halla dentro de la órbita 15-21
– Recortes suficientes desde la cresta. Técnicamente un 38,2%, 50%, ó 61,8% del completo impulso alcista desde inicio de ciclo.
El recorte representa ya un 43%
– Otro requisito a tener en cuenta es el Oscilador Stochastic 15 sesiones, en todo final de ciclo alcanza niveles por debajo de mínimos.
Sigue situado en la banda baja
Definido el fondo final del Ciclo Primario es comienzo de un nuevo, será el décimo y probablemente último Ciclo Primario dentro del ciclo de 18 meses, es previsible que la cresta de ese Primario defina la culminación de la quinta onda de Elliott, algunos índices tendrán oportunidad de elevarse por encima de sus recientes crestas
Antecedentes:
Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos
Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses
Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.
Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero 2010 hasta 30 de junio de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2011
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 9 de agosto 2011
Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 9 de agosto hasta 25 de noviembre de 2011
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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