NIKKEI – 7 de marzo de 2012
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on March 7th, 2012 filed in Nikkei
- 2,010 Comentarios »
CICLO PRIMARIO (órbita media de 15 a 21 semanas)
Al octavo ciclo primario cerrado el 5 de octubre siguió una fase intercíclica hasta el 25 de noviembre.
Se trata de una divergencia a tener en cuenta al hacer predicciones sobre el noveno ciclo, probablemente será de corto alcance.
Datos técnicos:
Fase intercíclica 5 de octubre – 25 de noviembre
Inicio de ciclo 8136
Primera cresta 8730
Punto medio entre dos mitades 8272 – 8352
Segunda cresta 9866
A esas alturas del ciclo quizás la cresta del completo ciclo quedará definida en los 9866, de ser así el tramo corriente iniciaría un arco descendente que llevaría el índice hasta el fondo final del ciclo primario.
Como primer paso va a penetrar el índice su media MM25
Técnicamente el recorte hasta el fondo final del ciclo representará un 38,2%, 50%, ó 61,8% del completo impulso alcista desde inicio de ciclo a su cresta.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Segunda quincena del mes propicia a definir un punto medio, cabría un final de ciclo.
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 10 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 27 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer ciclo Primario desde 27 de noviembre de 2009 hasta 9 de febrero Cuarto ciclo Primario desde 9 de febrero de 2010 hasta 9 de junio de 2010
Ciclos Primarios dentro del segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto ciclo Primario desde 9 de junio de 2010 hasta 1º de septiembre 2010
Sexto ciclo Primario desde 1º de septiembre de 2010 hasta 15 de marzo 2011
Séptimo ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 17 de junio de 2011
Octavo ciclo Primario desde 17 de junio de 2011 hasta 5 de octubre de 2011
Fase intercíclica 5 de octubre hasta 25 de noviembre
Noveno ciclo Primario
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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