FTSE 100 – 6 de marzo de 2012

Ciclo Primario (orbita entre 15 a 21 semanas)

Este índice, contando desde el 4 de octubre, transita su semana veintitrés de ciclo.

Datos técnicos:

Inicio de ciclo 4869 (4/10/11)

Cresta primera mitad 5747 (27/10/11)

Punto medio entre dos mitades 5075 (25/11/11)

Cresta de la segunda mitad 5964

A esas alturas del ciclo quizás la cresta de la segunda mitad ya está definida en los 5964 puntos, de ser así el tramo corriente iniciaría un arco descendente que llevaría el índice hasta el fondo final del ciclo primario.

Como primer paso va a penetrar el índice su media MM25, cabrá interpretarlo como que la cresta del ciclo está definida y transita el arco descendente.

En la sesión de ayer cerró ligeramente por debajo de la media.

Técnicamente el recorte hasta el fondo final del ciclo representará un 38,2%, 50%, ó 61,8% del completo impulso alcista desde inicio de ciclo a su cresta.

Probablemente ese noveno ciclo primario cerrará por encima de su inicio, o sea alcista, en consecuencia el próximo ciclo primario tendrá también posibilidades alcistas, propio de un tramo de ciclo perteneciente a una quinta onda de Elliott.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Ese noveno ciclo primario podría seguir desplegando hasta la tercera o cuarta semana de marzo.

Antecedentes:

Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero 2010 hasta 30 de junio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 16 de junio 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de junio hasta 4 de octubre de 2011


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