INFORME SEMANA – 5 al 11 de diciembre de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on December 3rd, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 88 Comentarios »
Análisis de cíclicos
Habiéndose dado cierres de índices por encima de sus respectivos indicadores MM25, queda definido, con fecha 25 de noviembre, el punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo primario.
El noveno ciclo primario se halla ahora desplegando su segunda mitad con tendencia alcista (máximos y mínimos crecientes) hasta la formación de la segunda cresta.
La tendencia alcista viene avalada por:
1º) Mayoritariamente el punto medio cerró por encima del punto de inicio del ciclo.
2º) Rebasado el punto medio toca desplegar el arco ascendente hasta lo que va a ser la cresta de la segunda mitad, con capacidad para formar una segunda cresta por encima de la primera.
3º) El tramo corriente va desplegando la quinta onda larga de Elliott
Con el punto medio del 25 de noviembre queda neutralizada la divergencia que se había detectado con respecto al inicio de ciclos, unos habían comenzado en septiembre y otros en 4 de octubre.
Indice NIKKEI – Pone de manifiesto divergencia con respecto a otros, a menos que el octavo ciclo primario se hubiese prolongado hasta el 25 de noviembre.
Si 25 de noviembre es inicio del noveno ciclo cabe tendencia de máximos y mínimos crecientes.
O bien, si el cinco de octubre es realmente el inicio del noveno ciclo, la tendencia a largo sería de máximos y mínimos decrecientes, al haber sido penetrada la resistencia de inicio (8243 puntos).
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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