INFORME SEMANA- 22 al 28 de agosto de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on August 22nd, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 95 Comentarios »
Análisis del cíclico
Dados los recortes comentados en el último informe cabía la posibilidad de haber alcanzado el punto medio del ciclo primario, lo que para algún índice no ha sido así, por dos motivos:
1º) El rebote en la semana fue insuficiente recortando nuevamente, aunque algunos índices hallaron soporte por encima del anterior mínimo (gráfico SP 500).
2º) Los nuevos mínimos para algunos índices pasan a adoptar el rol de punto medio.
(Punto medio suele presentarse en ciclos de dos fases, entre las semanas de la 9 a la 11 contando desde el inicio del ciclo primario)
Es tiempo de punto medio, aunque con divergencia entre índices.
Después de un punto medio la reacción alcista lleva al ciclo primario hasta la cresta de la segunda mitad del ciclo, con cierres por encima del indicador MM25, representa un tramo entre dos a cuatro semanas.
En mercados alcistas la cresta de la segunda mitad del ciclo primario suele elevarse por encima de la cresta de la primera mitad, no es así en mercados bajistas que queda por debajo.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Primera proyección será la cresta de la segunda mitad a culminar a mediados de septiembre.
IBEX 35
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