INFORME SEMANA – 1 al 7 de agosto de 2011

Análisis del cíclico según ondas de Elliott

Quienes siguen estos análisis conocen mi opinión acerca del tramo de ciclo que comenzó a finales de abril, allí cerró la tercera onda larga de Elliott y comenzaba la cuarta larga.

Va desplegando un recorte modelando un A – B – C, prolongable algunos meses, hasta noviembre, quizás mediados de diciembre.

Según ese modelo y en relación a la situación española, el ambiente dentro del tramo campaña electoral será conflictivo, mas bien hostil, poco propicio a aceptar promesas de recuperación económica.

Desde el punto de vista del análisis cíclico ese noviembre va a ser uno de los peores momentos, mucho mejor habría sido en meses cuyo ciclo fundamental tendiera a alcista, lo que es predecible.

Octavo Ciclo Primario

Según se solvente el tema en Estados Unidos va a condicionar la semana.


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