EURO STOXX 50 – 28 de julio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on July 28th, 2011 filed in EuroStoxx 50
- 16 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
Entrando en la séptima semana del Ciclo Primario contando desde su inicio (16 de junio), se trata del octavo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 donde comenzaron ciclos largos.
Tendencia del octavo ciclo primario
La fase más alcista de un ciclo es la que va desde su inicio hasta la cresta de la primera mitad, cresta que en ese caso ha sido coronada en los 2887 puntos.
Esa tendencia alcista del ciclo ya ha finalizado, puede observarse en el gráfico cómo desde la cresta va desplegándose sucesión de máximos y mínimos decrecientes, además se ha penetrado el soporte de inicio de ciclo (2692), lo que deja como definitiva la cresta del completo ciclo primario (2887), habrán recuperaciones, pero quedarán por debajo de 2887
Si esta tendencia bajista va confirmándose avalará mi hipótesis acerca de la ubicación de ese nuevo ciclo dentro del entorno bajista de una cuarta onda de Elliott.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Apunta al entorno de los días 27 – 29 de julio y 12 – 16 de agosto como propicios a definir movimientos técnicos.
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos Primarios dentro del primer Ciclo de 50 semanas y 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 13 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio de 2009 hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre de 2009 hasta 8 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 3010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre de 2010 hasta 16 de marzo 2011
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 16 de junio 2011
Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de junio 2011
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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