INFORME SEMANA – 25 al 31 de julio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on July 23rd, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 22 Comentarios »
Análisis del cíclico primario natural
Sigo manteniendo la hipótesis de que el tramo 16 – 27 de junio (según índices) representó el inicio del octavo ciclo primario contando desde marzo de 2009)
Octavo Ciclo Primario
Definió cresta de su primera fase entre los días 1 al 7 de julio y desde ahí recortes generalizados hasta el fondo de fase el 18 de julio, desde 18 de julio repunta de nuevo hasta la segunda cresta.
Si la segunda cresta queda por debajo de la primera confirmaría la tendencia bajista, acentuaría ese criterio si el recorte desde la segunda cresta penetrara el soporte de inicio de fase.
Ese análisis es relativo a un ciclo natural de tres fases, no todos los índices van a seguirlo.
El gráfico del índice DAX delimita claramente una primera fase, se halla en la segunda
Algunos índices como los americanos parece van definiendo un modelo dos fases, en ese supuesto siguen desplegando hasta la primera cresta (de momento doble techo) a la que en su momento seguirán recortes hasta un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo, allá por la semana 8 a 11 de ese 8º ciclo.
El gráfico del índice DOW sin cierres por debajo de la MM25 se mantiene el su primera fase
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Esa semana es clave, según vaya desplegando el ciclo al entorno del día 27 permitirá deducir proyecciones futuras.
IBEX 35
Soportes y resistencias diarios en Twitter:
guinartciclos
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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