FTSE 100 – 21 de julio de 2011

Ciclo Primario

Los 5644 puntos del 16 de junio delimitan probablemente el final del séptimo ciclo primario e inicio del octavo.

En consecuencia esa sería la quinta semana del nuevo ciclo, habiendo delimitando la primera fase con cresta en los 6084 puntos y probable fina de fase el día 18 de julio en 5752 puntos.

El rebote alcista desde el lunes puede atribuirse al inicio de una segunda fase dentro del octavo ciclo primario, si el rebote hallara resistencia por debajo de los 6084 puntos y vuelta a corregir confirmaría una tendencia general bajista que se vería confirmada de penetrar los 5752 de final de fase.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

A efectos de predicción de tendencia he venido indicando en informes anteriores la importancia del tramo al entorno de las fechas 27 – 30 de julio.

Antecedentes:

Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero 2010 hasta 30 de junio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta 16 de junio 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de junio hasta …


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