HANG SENG – 19 de julio de 2911

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

Marzo de 2009 fue inicio de ciclos largos (al final del informe se dan los ciclos primarios desplegados desde ahí).

Los 21509 puntos del día 20 de junio representa el final del séptimo ciclo primario e inicio del octavo.

Toda hipótesis de tendencia sobre ese octavo ciclo primario habrá que condicionarla a su ubicación dentro de un entorno bajista (puede observarse en el gráfico la sucesión de máximos y mínimos decrecientes)

Solo un rebote por encima de 21509 elevándose por encima de 22835, representaría en principio un cambio de tendencia.

Movimientos técnicos a corto

Esa es la quinta semana del ciclo primario, va desplegando su primera fase y tiene definida la primera cresta (22835) que podría ser la definitiva del ciclo.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Confirmar lo indicado habrá que esperar al tramo 27 – 30 de julio, según despliegue hasta allí permitirá deducir el punto de ciclo.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 2 de noviembre.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2 de noviembre hasta 8 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 8 de febrero de 2010 hasta 25 de mayo de 2010

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 25 de mayo  2010 hasta 20 de diciembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario  20 de diciembre de 2010 hasta 17 de marzo de 2011

Séptimo Ciclo Primario 17 de marzo de 2011 hasta el 20 de junio de 2011

Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 20 de junio


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