INFORME SEMANA – 18 al 24 de julio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on July 18th, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 20 Comentarios »
Análisis del cíclico primario natural
Todos los índices analizados en ese blog bordeaban crestas entre los días 1 al 7 de julio, desde ahí recortes generalizados; aunque no todos los índices recortaban con la misma intensidad.
En particular los índices europeos mucho más negativos que los índices americanos.
Esa es la primera fase de un nuevo ciclo primario, octavo contando desde marzo de 2009, donde comenzaron ciclos largos.
Teniendo en cuenta el tramo bajista donde se hallan ubicados los índices parece que los europeos han confirmado la cresta de su primera mitad como definitiva, no así los americanos que van mostrando más fortaleza.
Movimientos técnicos a corto
Los movimientos hasta ahora permiten pensar en un ciclo de dos fases, donde el tramo corriente sería la primera mitad, vista ya la cresta continuidad de máximos y mínimos decrecientes hasta un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo, allá por las semanas 8 – 11 de ciclo contando desde el inicio.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Confirmar lo indicado habrá que esperar al tramo 27 – 30 de julio, según despliegue hasta allí permitirá deducir el punto de ciclo.
ELLIOTT
En mi opinión el recorte desde los máximos de abril – mayo obedece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance se prolongará hasta el final del octavo ciclo primario.
Ver gráfico Elliott publicado el día 8 de julio.
IBEX 35 – PAUTA PARA CINCO SESIONES
Primera resistencia semana — 9692
Primer soporte semana ——- 9276
Soportes y resistencias diarios en Twitter:
guinartciclos
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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