DOW JONES I.A. – 12 de julio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on July 12th, 2011 filed in Dow
- 31 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
La doble base 11863 – 11875 (23 de junio) representa el final del séptimo ciclo primario e inicio del octavo.
Marzo de 2009 fue inicio de ciclos largos, al final del informe se dan los ciclos primarios desplegados desde ahí.
Toda hipótesis de tendencia sobre el octavo ciclo primario habrá que condicionarla a su ubicación dentro de un entorno bajista, en mi opinión desplegando una cuarta onda larga de Elliott.
Movimientos técnicos a corto
Los primeros movimientos a tener en cuenta desde el inicio del ciclo primario son: la primera cresta (12754), primer recorte (de momento 12470) y nueva cresta (—-), de ahí derivará sucesión de máximos y mínimos decrecientes, que marcará la tendencia del ciclo.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
Apunta a los tramos al entorno de los días 14 – 27 – 30 de julio como de alta volatilidad.
A largo
12876 puntos representa la cresta de la tercera onda larga de Elliott, la cuarta onda larga que va desplegando abarcará en principio lo que resta del corriente ciclo primario.
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8 julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2 noviembre de 2009 hasta 5 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16 marzo de 2011
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2011 hasta 23 de junio de 2011
Octavo Ciclo Primario desde 23 de junio de 2011 hasta.
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