DOW JONES I.A. – 30 de junio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on June 30th, 2011 filed in Dow
- 14 Comentarios »
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
La doble base 11863 – 11875 (23 de junio) podría ser el inicio de una última fase del séptimo Ciclo Primario, o probablemente final del séptimo ciclo e inicio del octavo.
Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.
La primera fase del ciclo delimitó los siguientes puntos;
Inicio 11555, cresta 12450, final de fase 12094
La segunda fase del ciclo definió una primera cresta en los 12876 puntos y de ahí (como se apuntaba en el último informe sobre ese índice) arco descendente hasta el fondo final.
Según la calidad del impulso alcista desde la doble base 11863 – 11875, permitirá deducir si se trata del inicio de la tercera fase o quizás inicio de un nuevo ciclo primario.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
El tramo del 6 al 14 de julio será determinante para aclarar el punto de ciclo.
A largo
12876 puntos representa la cresta de la tercera onda larga de Elliott, la cuarta onda larga que va desplegando abarcará en principio lo que resta del corriente ciclo primario y probablemente el próximo.
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.
Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses
Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009
Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8 julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2 noviembre de 2009 hasta 5 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010
Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses
Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010
Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16 marzo de 2010
Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2010 hasta ..
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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