NASDAQ 100 – 17 de junio de 2011

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

Transitando la decimocuarta semana del Ciclo Primario contando desde su inicio (16 de marzo), se trata del séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 donde comenzaron ciclos largos.

La primera fase del ciclo delimitó los siguientes puntos:

Inicio 2188, cresta 2359, final de fase 2254,

La segunda fase del ciclo definió una primera cresta en los 2417 puntos y de ahí arco descendente hasta el final de fase a 2298 puntos.

El impulso desde 2298 coronó cresta de la tercera fase en 2373 puntos.

Sin descartar un nuevo rebote ese ciclo tiende a su fondo final, habiendo definido ya una doble base con respecto a su punto de inicio  (2188)

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

En mi opinión un final del ciclo primario no procedería hasta julio – agosto.

A largo

2417 puntos representa la cresta de la tercera onda larga de Elliott, la cuarta onda larga que va desplegando abarcará en principio lo que resta de ciclo primario.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8  julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2  noviembre de 2009  hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 1 de julio de 2010

Inicio del segundo ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 1 de julio hasta 16 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 16 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2010

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo hasta..


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