INFORME SEMANA – 13 al 19 de junio de 2011
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on June 13th, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 14 Comentarios »
Análisis del cíclico natural
Entrando en la decimocuarta semana del ciclo primario desde el 16 de marzo de 2011.
Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.
Movimientos técnicos a corto
Descartada ya la presencia de un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo.
Los nuevos mínimos en la semana apuntan a:
– final de la segunda fase del ciclo primario, o quizás
– final de un ciclo de corto alcance
Ello va a depender de la calidad de un rebote, siempre que se alcancen cierres por encima de la media de 25 sesiones.
Proyección temporal de puntos medios
En mi opinión un final del ciclo primario no procedería hasta julio – agosto.
A largo
De no superar los índices la cresta del 2 de mayo reforzaría mi hipótesis de que el mercado ha entrado en un tramo bajista largo.
Eso es lo que se desprende tanto del análisis cíclico como de las ondas de Elliott.
ELLIOTT
En mi opinión el recorte desde las recientes crestas obedece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance se prolongará en principio hasta el final del ciclo primario.
Ver gráfico Elliott en la sección CATREGORIES del blog
IBEX 35 – PAUTA PARA CINCO SESIONES
Resistencias semana — 10163 – 10241
Soportes semana ——- 9861 – 9783
Con cierres por debajo de 10163 es bajista
10163 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por encima quedaría alcista.
Soportes y resistencias diarios en Twitter:
guinartciclos
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