INFORME SEMANA – del 6 al 12 de junio

Análisis del cíclico natural

Entrando en la decimotercera semana del ciclo primario desde el 16 de marzo de 2011.

Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.

Movimientos técnicos a corto

En esa segunda fase del ciclo primario no todos los índices han definido un punto medio:

IBEX 35 LO DEFINIÓ EN LOS 10031 PUNTOS

EURO STOXX 50 NO LO HA DEFINIDO

INDICES AMERICANOS TAMPOCO LO HAN DEFINIDO

Es de esperar un fondo de la segunda fase de ciclo primario, tanto para índices americanos como europeos

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Como altamente significativo van a ser el tramo al entorno del 10 -12 de junio.

A largo

De no superar los índices la cresta del 2 de mayo reforzaría mi hipótesis de que el mercado ha entrado en un tramo bajista largo.

Eso es lo que se desprende tanto del análisis cíclico como de las ondas de Elliott.

ELLIOTT

En mi opinión el recorte desde las recientes crestas obedece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance se prolongará en principio hasta el final del ciclo primario.

Ver gráfico Elliott en la sección CATREGORIES del blog

IBEX 35 – PAUTA PARA CINCO SESIONES

Resistencias semana  —     10474  –  10577

Soportes semana  ——-      10136  –  10033

Con cierres por encima de 10136 es alcista

10136 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.

Soportes y resistencias diarios en Twitter:

guinartciclos


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