INFORME SEMANA – 23 al 29 de mayo

Análisis del cíclico natural

Entrando en la undécima semana del ciclo primario desde el 16 de marzo de 2011.

Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.

A corto

El impulso alcista desde los mínimos de marzo coronó la cresta de la primera mitad del ciclo primario.

Desde la cresta sigue recorte hasta el punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo, al entorno de las semanas 8 – 11.

Siguirá al punto medio rebote alcista hasta la cresta de la segunda mitad del ciclo primario.

En un mercado alcista la segunda cresta debería elevarse por encima de la primera.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

La cresta de la segunda mitad del ciclo primario podría quedar definida en la tercera o cuarta semana después del punto medio.

A largo

De no superar los índices la primera cresta, reforzaría mi hipótesis de que el mercado ha entrado en una fase bajista por meses.

Eso es lo que se desprende tanto del análisis cíclico como de las ondas de Elliott.

ELLIOTT – Ciclo natural

En mi opinión el recorte desde las recientes crestas obedece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance abarcará varios meses.

Ver gráfico Elliott en la sección CATREGORIES del blog

IBEX 35 – PAUTA PARA CINCO SESIONES

Resistencias semana  —     10329  –  10450

Soportes semana  ——-      10198  –  10077

Con cierres por debajo de 10329 es bajista

10329 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por encima quedaría alcista.

Soportes y resistencias diarios en Twitter:

guinartciclos


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