DOW JONES I.A. – 18 de mayo de 2011

Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)

Contando desde su inicio, 16 de marzo de 2011, entra en su décima semana.

Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.

La primera fase del ciclo delimitó los siguientes puntos;

Inicio 11555, cresta 12450, final de fase 12094,

La segunda fase del ciclo definió una primera cresta en los 12876 puntos y de ahí arco descendente con tendencia a un punto medio, de momento en los 12379 puntos.

De producirse un rebote inmediato se habría delimitado tanto el punto medio como el inicio de la segunda mitad del ciclo primario.

Un nuevo impulso alcista tendería a una segunda cresta dentro de segunda fase del ciclo primario.

En un mercado alcista esa segunda cresta debería elevarse por encima de los 12876 puntos.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Mediados de mayo son sesiones propicias a definir un punto medio.

Nueva cresta finales de mayo

A largo

12876 puntos representa la cresta de la tercera onda larga de Elliott, la cuarta onda larga que va desplegando abarcará varios meses.

Antecedentes:

Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo de 2009.

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses

Primer ciclo Primario desde 6 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009

Segundo ciclo Primario desde 8  julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2  noviembre de 2009  hasta 5 de febrero de 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero de 2010 hasta 2 de julio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 2 de julio hasta 29 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 29 de noviembre de 2010 hasta16  marzo de 2010

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 16 de marzo de 2010 hasta ..


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