INFORME SEMANA – 16 al 22 de mayo
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on May 16th, 2011 filed in Uncategorized
- 3 Comentarios »
Análisis del cíclico natural
Entrando en la décima semana del ciclo primario desde el 16 de marzo de 2011.
Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.
A corto
El impulso alcista desde los mínimos de marzo coronó la cresta de la primera mitad del ciclo primario.
El tramo corriente representa el arco descendente que va desde la primera cresta a un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo.
Técnicamente el momento de un punto medio se da entre las semanas novena a la once.
Seguirá al punto medio un rebote alcista hasta la cresta de la segunda mitad del ciclo primario.
En un mercado alcista la segunda cresta debería elevarse por encima de la primera.
A largo
De no superar los índices la primera cresta, reforzaría mi hipótesis de que el mercado ha entrado en una fase bajista por meses.
Eso es lo que se desprende tanto del análisis cíclico como de las ondas de Elliott.
ELLIOTT – Ciclo natural
El recorte desde las recientes crestas (si no son superadas de inmediato, pertenece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance abarcará varios meses.
fg@guinart.com
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
May 16th, 2011 at 9:02 am
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