INFORME SEMANA – 9 al 15 de mayo de 2011

Análisis del cíclico natural

Entrando en la novena semana del ciclo primario desde el 16 de marzo de 2011.

Es el séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 cuando comenzaron ciclos largos.

Se apuntó en el último informe que el impulso alcista desde los mínimos de marzo seguiría hasta coronar la cresta de la primera mitad del ciclo primario, lo cual ha quedado definido.

El tramo corriente representa ahora el arco descendente que irá desde la cresta a un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo.

Técnicamente el momento de un punto medio es entre las semanas novena a la once.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios

Recientes movidas apuntan a mediados de mayo como momento propicio a definir un punto medio.

IBEX 35 – PAUTA PARA CINCO SESIONES

Resistencias semana  —     10740  –  10869

Soportes semana  ——-      10482  –  10353

Con cierres por debajo de 10740 es bajista

10740 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por encima quedaría alcista.

ELLIOTT – Ciclo natural

El recorte desde las recientes crestas (si no son superadas de inmediato, pertenece a una cuarta onda larga cuyo alcance abarcará varios meses.

Ver gráfico Elliott en la sección CATREGORIES del blog

Contactos por e-mail: fg@guinart.com


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