INFORME SEMANA - 8 al 14 de marzo de 2010
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on March 7th, 2010 filed in Informe Semanal
Análisis cíclico
Entrando en la quinta semana del ciclo primario.
Partiendo de marzo de 2009 es el primer ciclo primario dentro del segundo ciclo de 50 semanas.
Tendencia principal alcista
La primera fase de un ciclo primario abarca de media:
Seis semanas si va a desplegar un ciclo primario de tres fases, o bien:
Ocho - once semanas si el ciclo va a ser de dos fases.
Dentro del tramo modelará una cresta y un recorte.
También puede estimarse la presencia de un punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo a mediados de abril.
Los movimientos recientes permiten proyectar puntos de referencia, el primero significativo dentro de la segunda quincena de marzo.
PAUTAS PARA CINCO SESIONES
IBEX 35
Cierre semanal quedó alcista
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 11181 – 11343
Soportes semana ——- 10702 – 10540
Con cierres por encima de 10702 es alcista
10702 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 9917 puntos, transitando la quinta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
EURO STOXX 50
Cierre semanal quedó alcista
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 2917 – 2951
Soportes semana ——– 2811 – 2777
Con cierres por encima de 2811 es alcista
2811 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 8 de febrero a 2617 puntos, transitando la quinta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
DOW JONES
Cierre semanal quedó alcista
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 10625 – 10683
Soportes semana ——- 10437 – 10379
Con cierres por encima de 10437 es alcista
10437 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 9835 puntos, transitando la quinta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
NASDAQ 100
Cierre semanal quedó alcista
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 1898 – 1914
Soportes semana ——- 1851 – 1835
Con cierres encima de 1851 es alcista
1851 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 1712 puntos, transitando la quinta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
Claves para seguir este informe en el libro:
CICLOS, Un Instrumento de Análisis Bursátil
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