INFORME SEMANA - 1 al 7 de marzo de 2010
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on February 28th, 2010 filed in Informe Semanal
Análisis cíclico
Entrando en la cuarta semana de nuevos ciclos.
Partiendo de marzo de 2009 es el primer ciclo primario dentro del segundo ciclo de 50 semanas.
El comienzo de un ciclo es su tramo más alcista, tendencia que se prolonga hasta la cresta de su primera mitad, en principio, una primera aproximación para una teórica cresta se daría en la segunda mitad de marzo, de ahí derivaría un recorte hasta el punto medio entre dos mitades de ciclo, al entorno de la novena semana para el ciclo primario.
A más largo la tendencia principal es también alcista, se prolongará, según la proyección temporal de puntos medios, hasta los meses de junio – julio donde habrá que pensar en posibles recortes.
IBEX 35 - De los ciclos analizados solo ese índice se halla pendiente de confirmar el cambio de ciclos, con respecto a otros acarrea una carga añadida, como consecuencia de factores fundamentales país, no obstante seguiremos manteniendo la opción de nuevo ciclo mientras se mantenga por encima de los 9917 puntos.
PAUTAS PARA CINCO SESIONES
IBEX 35
Cierre semanal quedó neutral
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 10502 – 10690
Soportes semana ——- 10235 – 10047
Con cierres por encima de 10235 es alcista
10235 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 9917 puntos, transitando la cuarta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
EURO STOXX 50
Cierre semanal quedó neutral
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 2774 – 2804
Soportes semana ——– 2707 – 2677
Con cierres por encima de 2707
2707 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 8 de febrero a 2617 puntos, transitando la cuarta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
DOW JONES
Cierre semanal quedó neutral
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 10434 – 10515
Soportes semana ——- 10267 – 10186
Con cierres por encima de 10267 es alcista
10267 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 9835 puntos, transitando la cuarta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
NASDAQ 100
Cierre semanal quedó neutral
Previsión:
Resistencias semana — 1853 – 1877
Soportes semana ——- 1805 – 1781
Con cierres encima de 1805 es alcista
1805 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.
Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Inicio el día 5 de febrero a 1712 puntos, transitando la cuarta semana
Tendencia alcista hasta la cresta de la primera mitad
Claves para seguir este informe en el libro:
CICLOS, Un Instrumento de Análisis Bursátil
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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