FTSE 100 - 26 de enero de 2010
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on January 26th, 2010 filed in Ft100
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
El tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre transita su decimotercera semana.
Los recortes hasta 5253 puntos, con pérdida de un 6% desde la cresta, podría haber representado un punto medio de haberse dado dentro de las semanas 9-11 del ciclo. No obstante, entrando ya en la semana trece, lo más coherente será tener en cuenta las siguientes posibilidades:
El recorte podría corresponder al tramo final de un ciclo primario de corto alcance, cerrando entre las semanas 13 a la 15, donde cualquier recuperación quedaría por debajo del indicador MM25.
Quizás pueda tratarse del final de la segunda fase del ciclo primario, en ese supuesto le faltaría una tercera fase con su correspondiente cresta que definiría por encima del indicador MM25.
La clave del ciclo se halla pues en el comportamiento del índice frente a la resistencia que representa la MM25.
Antecedentes:
Inicio de Ciclos largos en el mes de marzo.
Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio.
Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre.
Tercer Ciclo Primario transitando su semana trece.
Claves para seguir este informe en el libro:
CICLOS, Un Instrumento de Análisis Bursátil
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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