INFORME SEMANA - del 9 al 15 de noviembre de 2009

  • Posted by Francisco Guinart on November 8th, 2009 filed in Informe Semanal

sp-500-semana-del-9-de-noviembre.jpg

Análisis cíclico

El segundo Ciclo Primario (dentro de los ciclos de 50 semanas y de 18 meses) entra en su decimoctava semana.

Divergencia entre índices: americanos cerrando alcistas, quedando pendiente de ser confirmado por los europeos.

Es significativo el rebote del día 2 de noviembre aunque el recorte previo quedó como insuficiente desde un punto de vista teórico, es por ello que de momento queda pendiente de confirmar esa fecha como final del ciclo primario e inicio de uno nuevo.

Los movimientos en las últimas sesiones auguran alta volatilidad para las próximas.

PAUTAS PARA CINCO SESIONES

IBEX 35

Cierre semana anterior ligeramente por debajo de la línea de tendencia

Previsión:

Resistencias semana — 11628 – 11750
Soportes semana ——- 11180 – 11058

Con cierres por debajo de 11628 es bajista

11628 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por encima quedaría alcista.

Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Decimoctava semana desde el 13 de julio o primera de un nuevo ciclo primario
Alta volatilidad, pendiente de confirmar el punto de ciclo.

EURO STOXX 50

Cierre semana anterior ligeramente por debajo de la línea de tendencia

Previsión:

Resistencias semana — 2808 – 2832
Soportes semana ——– 2693 – 2669

Con cierres por debajo de 2808 es bajista

2808 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por encima quedaría alcista.

Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Decimoctava semana desde el 13 de julio o primera de un nuevo ciclo primario
Alta volatilidad, pendiente de confirmar el punto de ciclo.

DOW JONES

Cierre anterior alcista

Previsión:

Resistencias semana — 10072 – 10119
Soportes semana ——- 9875 – 9828

Con cierres por encima de 9875 es alcista

9875 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.

Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Decimoctava semana desde 8-10 de julio o primera de un nuevo ciclo primario.
Alta volatilidad, pendiente de confirmar el punto de ciclo.

NASDAQ 100

Cierre anterior por encima de la línea de tendencia

Previsión:

Resistencias semana — 1747 – 1764
Soportes semana ——- 1697 – 1680

Con cierres por encima de 1697 es alcista

1697 es el punto técnico de cambio de tendencia, con cierres por debajo quedaría bajista.

Ciclo primario (órbita 15 – 21 semanas)
Decimoctava semana desde 8-13 de julio o primera de un nuevo ciclo primario.
Alta volatilidad, pendiente de confirmar el punto de ciclo

Claves para seguir este informe en el libro:
CICLOS, Un Instrumento de Análisis Bursátil


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