FTSE 100 – 9 de junio de 2011

Ondas Elliott

Quienes siguen esa sección conocen mi opinión acerca del punto de onda de Elliott, los 6103 puntos de ese índice representan la cresta de la tercera onda larga y desde aquellos máximos va desplegando la cuarta onda correctora, también larga.

En principio la cuarta onda larga va a prolongarse hasta el final del corriente ciclo primario, allá por el mes de julio, quizás agosto.

Mis ciclos

Semana trece del Ciclo Primario contando desde su inicio (15 de marzo), se trata del séptimo ciclo primario desde marzo de 2009 donde comenzaron ciclos largos.

El tramo alcista desde los mínimos de marzo (5591) definió primera cresta en 6070 puntos, de ahí fondo en 5858.

Segunda cresta en 6103 puntos seguida de arco descendente, de momento en los 5802.

Un ciclo de tres fases se elevaría hasta una tercera cresta, que, dada la tendencia bajista  coronaría por debajo de la segunda.

Proyección temporal de puntos medios según el ciclo natural

Altamente significativo va a ser el tramo al entorno del 10 al 12 de junio, donde cabría un punto de cambio.

Antecedentes:

Marzo de 2009 es punto de inicio de ciclos

Ciclos primarios dentro del primer ciclo de 50 semanas y del de 18 meses

Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo hasta 13 de julio de 2009.

Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 13 de julio hasta 3 de noviembre de 2009.

Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 3 de noviembre 2009 hasta 5 de febrero 2010

Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero 2010 hasta 30 de junio de 2010

Segundo Ciclo de 18 meses

Quinto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de junio de 2010 hasta 30 de noviembre de 2010

Sexto Ciclo Primario desde 30 de noviembre hasta 16 de marzo de 2010

Séptimo Ciclo Primario desde 15 de marzo de 2011 hasta —


10 Responses to “FTSE 100 – 9 de junio de 2011”

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  2. slait73 Says:

    Estimado Guinart,

    Por favor, podria explicar las rezones por las que predice un punto de cambio tan definido entre los dias 10 y 12?

    Soy seguidor del blog desde hace tiempo y estas precisiones se me escapan, dado que en su libro no especifica la pauta que debemos tener encuenta a la hora de predecir estos puntos de cambio.

    Saludos

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