NASDAQ 100 - 22 de julio de 2010
- Posted by Francisco Guinart on July 22nd, 2010 filed in Nasdaq
Ciclo Primario (órbita media 15-21 semanas)
Por analogía con los índices SP500 y DOW JONES, mantengo la hipótesis de que el punto medio de 25 de mayo representó el final del primer ciclo primario dentro del segundo ciclo de 50 semanas.
El tramo desde 25 de mayo corresponde al segundo ciclo primario dentro del segundo ciclo de 50 semanas.
A pocas semanas de su comienzo ya ha sido penetrado el soporte de inicio a 1700.
Todo ello deja definida la cresta de lo que va a ser el completo 2º ciclo de 50 semanas a 2059, y la de su segundo ciclo primario a 1939, no habrá otra, pues la tendencia principal a pasado a bajista, seguirán máximos y mínimos decrecientes hasta el fondo final del segundo ciclo de 50 semanas.
Antecedentes:
Fase intercíclica 21 de noviembre de 2008 a 9 de marzo de 2009.
Primer Ciclo de 50 semanas
Primer Ciclo Primario desde 9 de marzo de 2009 hasta 8 de julio de 2009
Segundo Ciclo Primario desde 8 de julio de 2009 hasta 2 de noviembre de 2009.
Tercer Ciclo Primario desde 2 de noviembre de2009 hasta 5 de febrero de 2010
Cuarto Ciclo Primario desde 5 de febrero hasta 25 de mayo de 2010
Los principios del análisis cíclico en el libro:
CICLOS, Un instrumento de análisis bursátil
Francisco Guinart en Febrero de 2008
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